Epic FAIL

Trump, the damned deal-obsessed fool, should’ve left Iran the fuck alone.

Open Source Intel
@Osint613

IRAN WAR 2026

What was achieved. What wasn’t.

The nuclear threat was pushed back. Not eliminated. Pushed back.

Iran’s ability to launch sustained mass ballistic missile barrages at Israel as an existential threat has been completely degraded.

The regime’s missile industry took a major hit. Mass production capability likely cut by at least ~80%.

Hezbollah has been severely weakened. Israel is now shaping what could become a ~1000 km security buffer in Lebanon.

Gulf states may want to work closer with Israel, potentially paving the way for more peace and normalization.

Iranian economy was completely decimated before going into this, imagine where it is now, we will see how this plays out going forward.

WHAT WASN’T ACHIEVED

The IRGC still holds leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. That remains the biggest unresolved pressure point. Watch it closely.

The regime is still standing. Still in control of Iran. Iranians are still in danger.

LESSONS LEARNED

None, by my own admittedly cynical estimation. Proof of which will come along during the next cpl-three decades, when we end up having to do the whole thing all over again. The lesson we should have learned, but didn’t: even someone as deal-obsessed as DJT really must acknowledge that any deal made with Moslems isn’t worth the proverbial “bucket of warm piss”—they regard any “deal” made with infidel Westerners to be more like an opportunity to cheat, deceive, or hoodoo the fools than anything else. Read up on the Moslem concept of taqiyya sometime if you doubt me.

Bottom line: as long as an Ayatollah, any Ayatollah (even one Trump idiotically assures us is a “reasonable” “moderate”) remains in charge of the nation-state entity known as “the Islamic Republic of Iran,” the war ain’t done yet.

(Via Stephen Green)